HDFC Bank Share Price Target 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030
- Market Cap
- ₹11,46,345 Cr
- Book Value
- ₹390
- Stock P/E
- 14.5
- Dividend Yield
- 1.75%
- ROE
- 13.6%
- ROCE
- 7.02%
- PEG Ratio
- 0.80
- EV/EBITDA
- 16.1
Fundamentals from Screener.in, as of 5 Aug 2026. Live price via Yahoo Finance.
HDFC Bank share price today
HDFC Bank (NSE: HDFCBANK) is India’s largest private bank — roughly 15% of the entire banking system’s advances flow through it. It is also, right now, one of the strangest charts on the Nifty: the stock sits near its 52-week low of ₹727 (against a high of ₹1,020) while quarterly profit just grew 19% year-on-year.
A great franchise going nowhere in price for years, then quietly becoming cheap — this is usually where long-term positions get built. Let us check whether that pattern holds here.
What you own when you own HDFC Bank
A deposit-gathering machine. Deposits grew from ₹23.8 lakh Cr to ₹31 lakh Cr in just two years (FY24→FY26). Low-cost deposits are the raw material of banking, and nobody in the private sector gathers them at this scale.
A 15% slice of Indian credit. Every EMI, working-capital line and credit card in a growing economy is the addressable market.
The merger, finally digested. The 2023 merger with parent HDFC Ltd bloated the balance sheet with expensive borrowings. Watch what has happened since: borrowings have run off from ₹7.31 lakh Cr (FY24) to ₹5.88 lakh Cr (FY26), replaced by cheaper deposits. That mechanical margin repair is still playing out — it is the core of the earnings story for the next two years.
A stable of listed subsidiaries — HDB Financial, HDFC Life, HDFC AMC, HDFC Securities — each with its own value.
The numbers (consolidated, post the 1:1 bonus of 2025)
From Screener.in:
| Year | Revenue (₹ Cr) | Net profit (₹ Cr) | EPS (₹) | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY24 | 2,83,649 | 65,446 | 42.16 | 23% |
| FY25 | 3,36,367 | 73,440 | 46.26 | 24% |
| FY26 | 3,48,615 | 79,219 | 49.39 | 31% |
| TTM | 3,51,819 | 82,512 | 51.35 | — |
Five-year compounding: revenue 22% a year, profit 19% a year, ROE steady in the 14–17% band. The bank has never had a crisis year in its listed life — the growth just compounds through cycles.
Quarterly review — the grind is turning
| Quarter | Net profit (₹ Cr) | EPS (₹) |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2025 | 20,364 | 12.76 |
| Dec 2025 | 20,691 | 12.87 |
| Mar 2026 | 21,074 | 13.22 |
| Jun 2026 | 20,383 | 12.50 |
June 2026 profit was up 19% year-on-year (₹20,383 Cr vs ₹17,090 Cr). Rate cuts squeeze NIM near-term, but the borrowing run-off works the other way — the net effect is visible in that YoY number. One more housekeeping positive: the bank is redeeming $1 billion of expensive AT1 bonds this month rather than rolling them.
Balance sheet review
- Deposits ₹31 lakh Cr, up 30% in two years — franchise health in one number.
- Merger borrowings down ₹1.4 lakh Cr in two years — each replaced rupee lifts margin.
- Capital: equity doubled to ₹1,539 Cr via the 1:1 bonus (Aug 2025) — cosmetic, but it reset the per-share optics; every historical number here is bonus-adjusted.
- Asset quality: GNPA around 1.4%, among the cleanest large books in the system.
Shareholding review — the identifiable seller
| Holder | Sep 2023 | Dec 2025 | Jun 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| FIIs | 52.13% | 47.67% | 41.82% |
| DIIs | 30.39% | 37.00% | 41.75% |
| Public | 17.30% | 15.11% | 16.27% |
There is no promoter — HDFC Bank is a professionally-run, institutionally-owned bank. The chart’s weakness has a name: foreign ownership has fallen ten percentage points in under three years, a slow structural unwind (index weight caps, EM outflows, profit-booking on India’s most-owned stock). Domestic funds have bought almost exactly what FIIs sold. When the seller is a flow, not a fact about the business, patience tends to get paid.
Valuation — the actual bull case
At ₹742 the bank trades at 14.5× trailing earnings and 1.9× book, with a PEG of 0.8. For context, HDFC Bank spent most of the 2015–2021 era between 3× and 4.5× book. The valuation has not been this undemanding in over a decade — for a franchise still compounding profit at 19%.
Cheapness alone is not a thesis; cheapness plus an improving margin cycle plus a completed merger is.
HDFC Bank share price target 2026 to 2030
EPS base ₹51.35 (TTM). Scenarios: bear 8% growth (NIM stays squeezed, credit growth slows), base 13% (system credit growth + margin repair — below its own 19% five-year record, deliberately conservative), bull 17% (margin normalisation completes, subsidiaries compound). Multiples: bear 13×, base 17×, bull 21× — all within its own ten-year range.
| Year | Bear (13×, 8%) | Base (17×, 13%) | Bull (21×, 17%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ₹780 | ₹900 | ₹1,030 |
| 2027 | ₹810 | ₹1,010 | ₹1,210 |
| 2028 | ₹840 | ₹1,130 | ₹1,440 |
| 2029 | ₹875 | ₹1,270 | ₹1,700 |
| 2030 | ₹910 | ₹1,425 | ₹2,020 |
Note what the bear case says: even with growth halving and the multiple staying depressed, the arithmetic lands above today’s price by 2030 — that is what buying near a decade-low valuation does to downside math. The base case, needing only 13% growth at 17×, roughly doubles the stock by 2030, plus a rising dividend along the way.
Reasons to own HDFC Bank
- India’s largest private bank at its cheapest valuation in over a decade (1.9× book, PEG 0.8).
- 19% YoY profit growth right now — the earnings engine never stalled, only the multiple did.
- Merger margin-repair tailwind: ₹5.9 lakh Cr of borrowings still running off into cheaper deposits.
- The seller is a flow (FII unwind), absorbed one-for-one by domestic funds.
- Fortress asset quality (GNPA ~1.4%) — this compounds because it never blows up.
- Optionality in listed subsidiaries and a payout ratio that just stepped up to 31%.
Risks, stated plainly: NIM compression if rate cuts run deeper; system credit growth is cyclical; a bank this large grows with the economy, not faster than it — the days of 25% compounding are structurally over. The bet is 13–17%, not 25%.
Should you buy at the current price?
The live buy range below is for members — the exact accumulation zone, updated as our view changes.
FAQ
What is the HDFC Bank share price target for 2030? Base case ≈ ₹1,425 (17× on 13% EPS growth), bear ≈ ₹910, bull ≈ ₹2,020. The arithmetic is shown above.
Why is HDFC Bank falling despite good results? Foreign ownership has unwound from 52% to 42% since 2023 — a flow-driven decline, absorbed by domestic funds, while profit grew every year.
Is HDFC Bank cheap right now? At 14.5× earnings and 1.9× book against a 3–4.5× historical book-value band, this is its most undemanding valuation in over a decade.
Did HDFC Bank issue a bonus? Yes — a 1:1 bonus in August 2025. All per-share figures in this article are bonus-adjusted.
When are HDFC Bank’s next results? Q2 FY27 lands in mid-October 2026 — track it on our results calendar.
This article is research and education, not personalised investment advice. We are not SEBI-registered advisers. Price targets are scenario arithmetic, not promises — rate cycles, credit cycles and market shocks can push prices outside every band shown. Do your own research and consult a registered adviser before acting.